The record · College football
College football picks: every call, graded. Misses included.
Every college football pick CacheOut locked before the game, checked against the final score: the win-loss record, each call's price and every miss.
- 278
- College picks graded
- 201–77
- College picks · 72.3%
- Brier 0.185
- coin flip = 0.250, lower is better
The odds feed quotes a minority of the college slate, and a game it never quoted is one we never made a claim about. Those games are not counted either way — coverage shows which weeks were priced and which were not.
| Stated chance | Picks | W–L | Came in | Stated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50–60% | 73 | 45–28 | 61.6% | 55.2% |
| 60–70% | 63 | 38–25 | 60.3% | 65.3% |
| 70% or better | 176 | 148–28 | 84.1% | 83.5% |
| Locked | Picks | W–L | Came in | Stated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 hours | 200 | 143–57 | 71.5% | 72.7% |
| 6 to 24 hours | 14small sample | 10–4 | 71.4% | 76.0% |
| 1 to 3 days | 98 | 78–20 | 79.6% | 73.8% |
Preseason is left out, as from the headline record. A band with fewer than 20 graded picks is marked: its hit rate can swing a long way on a few games.
Every pick
Each one shows when it was locked and how it settled. Flat 10-unit stakes, at fair odds and at a typical sportsbook price, so you can see the difference the sportsbook's cut makes.
| Game | Our pick | Win chance | Kickoff | Final | P/L (units) | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri @ Arkansas | Missouri | 79% | Oct 31, 7:45 PMlocked Oct 31 | Missouri 34–10 | +2.70+2.15 at a book | ✓ Hit |
| Mississippi State @ Texas | Texas | 94% | Oct 31, 7:30 PMlocked Oct 31 | Texas 31–3 | +0.67+0.21 at a book | ✓ Hit |
| Georgia Tech @ Pittsburgh | Pittsburgh | 73% | Oct 31, 7:30 PMlocked Oct 31 | Pittsburgh 34–11 | +3.63+3.05 at a book | ✓ Hit |
| Oklahoma State @ Iowa State | Oklahoma State | 77% | Oct 31, 7:00 PMlocked Oct 31 | Iowa State 51–49 | −10.00−10.00 at a book | ✕ Miss |
| Washington State @ San Diego State | San Diego State | 55% | Oct 31, 7:00 PMlocked Oct 31 | San Diego State 26–20 | +8.10+7.32 at a book | ✓ Hit |
| Clemson @ Florida State | Florida State | 68% | Oct 31, 7:00 PMlocked Oct 31 | Clemson 36–24 | −10.00−10.00 at a book | ✕ Miss |
| Appalachian State @ Georgia Southern | Georgia Southern | 67% | Oct 31, 6:30 PMlocked Oct 31 | Georgia Southern 19–3 | +4.93+4.29 at a book | ✓ Hit |
| South Carolina @ Oklahoma | Oklahoma | 61% | Oct 31, 4:15 PMlocked Oct 31 | South Carolina 42–25 | −10.00−10.00 at a book | ✕ Miss |
| Nevada @ UCLA | UCLA | 96% | Oct 31, 4:15 PMlocked Oct 31 | UCLA 27–0 | +0.40−0.05 at a book | ✓ Hit |
| Purdue @ Penn State | Penn State | 79% | Oct 31, 4:15 PMlocked Oct 31 | Penn State 31–17 | +2.64+2.09 at a book | ✓ Hit |
At fair odds, betting every pick would roughly break even over time, so any profit there is luck, not skill. The second line takes a typical sportsbook's 4.5% cut, which is closer to what a real bettor gets. These are units, not dollars. Nobody placed these bets.