Mississippi State at Texas: our pick
We called Texas at 94%, locked Oct 31, 5:34 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Mississippi State 3–31 Texas. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 94% is the betting market's own price for Texas: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on Texas: 3 right.
At 94%, a pick like this still loses about 6 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 94%Last live read 88% (Q1 3:50)
- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- Texas avg margin
- +7.3
Only 4 graded games on Texas so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Texas's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Texas win chance | 94% | 94% |
| Total | 50.5 | 50.5 |
- Pick locked: Texas at 94%.
- Market closed with Texas at 94%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Mississippi State 3–31 Texas. Right.
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