The record · College football

Alabama at Mississippi State: our pick

We called Alabama at 66%, locked Oct 2, 7:50 AM ET, 28 hours before kickoff.

Final: Alabama 56–23 Mississippi State. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 66% is the betting market's own price for Alabama: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 3 graded calls on Alabama: 3 right.

At 66%, a pick like this still loses about 34 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

More on these teams

Mississippi State

Alabama

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Entry #534 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →