Georgia at Alabama: our pick
We called Alabama at 53%, locked Oct 10, 5:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Georgia 20–17 Alabama. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 53% is the betting market's own price for Alabama: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on Alabama: 4 right.
At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 53%Last live read 11% (Q4 2:00)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 4
- Alabama avg margin
- +26.5
Only 4 graded games on Alabama so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Alabama's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Alabama win chance | 53% | 53% |
| Alabama spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 51.5 | 51.5 |
- Pick locked: Alabama at 53%.
- Market closed with Alabama at 53%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Georgia 20–17 Alabama. Wrong.
More on these teams
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