Alabama at Tennessee: our pick
We called Alabama at 75%, locked Oct 17, 1:31 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Alabama 10–26 Tennessee. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 75% is the betting market's own price for Alabama: 5 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 5 graded calls on Alabama: 4 right.
At 75%, a pick like this still loses about 25 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 75%Last live read 0% (Q4 0:37)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- Alabama avg margin
- +20.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Alabama's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Alabama win chance | 75% | 75% |
- Pick locked: Alabama at 75%.
- Market closed with Alabama at 75%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Alabama 10–26 Tennessee. Wrong.
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