NFL 2026 · preseason live now

The NFL season,
priced live.

Every game read straight off the market — win %, spread cover and the total, de-vigged from 20+ books including Pinnacle — plus how far the line has moved, where a single book pays longer than the market, and where the public money sits. Preseason through the Super Bowl. The same calibrated model that called the World Cup, now on the gridiron.

Proven at the World Cup — 79 calls settled, 76% hit, +23% ROI.

The gridiron, priced live

This season's arena.

The NFL is the live season — every game, every week, priced by the model. The World Cup run is the proof it works.

Live · Season

NFL 2026

Live scores, win % / spread cover / total on every game, division standings and the full conference playoff seeding — priced all season long.

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★ Track record · Spain

World Cup 2026

79 predictions settled · 76% hit rate · +23% ROI. The model favoured Spain in the final — Spain won. Browse the settled archive.

View the archive
Soon

More sports

NBA, tennis and beyond — the same three-signal fusion engine and the same calibration.

Coming soon
The market isn't the only signal

Three reads. Side by side.

termee reads every game three ways and shows all three, deliberately unblended. A single fused number hides which signal was wrong — and being able to say which was wrong is the whole point.

Market

22-25 bookmakers · live
de-vigged consensus

The sharpest crowd there is — every book pricing the game, stripped of its margin to recover the true price.

News

beat reporting · live
its own win probability

Recent reporting on both teams, read into an independent price. In the preseason the decisive fact is who actually plays, and that is written down before it is fully priced.

Public money

sharp vs recreational · live
where retail money sits

Recreational books shade towards the side the public backs; exchanges and Pinnacle do not. The gap between them is the crowd's footprint — a contrarian marker, never a pick.

Market 52%·News LV 55%·Public flatshown side by side, never blended
76%
Accuracy
60–19 W–L · settled
+182.5u
Profit
on 790u staked
+23.1%
ROI
per unit staked
79
Settled
flat 10u / bet

Real WC2026 fixtures · consensus of 13+ books · every bet priced at its pre-match market and settled on the real score.

The whole season, one screen

Six modules. One source of truth.

Every tab pulls from the same market-priced engine — so the live board, the game predictions, the standings and the settled record all agree.

01

Scores

The full season — preseason through the play-offs — with live scores, the game clock and every kickoff.

02

Predict

Every game priced from the market: win %, spread cover % and the total, de-vigged across 20+ books.

03

Movement

How far each line has travelled since the market opened, and which games the books re-priced hardest.

04

Edge

Where one book pays longer than the whole market — positive expected value, with the price and the book.

05

Standings

Conference and division records with the full 1-through-7 playoff seeding.

06

Track record

A flat-stake record — every call settled on the real result, graded in public.

How the model prices a match

Consensus in. De-vigged truth out.

  1. 01

    Pull consensus

    Live prices from every bookmaker pricing the game, via The Odds API.

  2. 02

    De-vig

    Strip the bookmaker margin to recover the true outcome probabilities.

  3. 03

    Settle on reality

    Each finished fixture settles against its real final score — no cherry-picking.

  4. 04

    Score itself

    Brier score & ECE published openly — the model is graded in public.

Calibration, not hype

We publish our misses.

When the model says 70%, it should be right about 70% of the time. The calibration curve plots stated confidence against what actually happened — and we report the numbers either way.

Brier0.199
ECE16.6%
Samplen 79
Points near the diagonal mean stated confidence matched reality. Lower Brier & ECE are better.
Settled on real scores

The track record is the pitch.

Flat 10u / bet · consensus of 13+ books.

MatchPickOddsResultP&L
Austria v JordanAustria1.383–1+3.8
Portugal v Congo DRPortugal1.281–1−10.0
England v CroatiaEngland1.704–2+7.0
Ghana v PanamaGhana2.311–0+13.1
Uzbekistan v ColombiaColombia1.391–3+3.9
Czechia v South AfricaCzechia1.851–1−10.0

A sample of settled bets. The model flat-stakes its most likely outcome at the market price — measuring accuracy and variance, not an edge over the book.

The season is live. So is the model.

Every NFL game priced from the market and graded against the real result — win %, spreads, totals and the playoff race, all season.

Launch the NFL terminal

Here for the proof? Browse the World Cup archive →

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