Purdue at Penn State: our pick
We called Penn State at 79%, locked Oct 31, 2:15 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Purdue 17–31 Penn State. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 79% is the betting market's own price for Penn State: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on Penn State: 1 right.
At 79%, a pick like this still loses about 21 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 31, 6:38 PM ET at Q3 2:11: Penn State 97% to win, called at 79%.
Call 79% Alert 97% at Q3 2:11Last live read 99% (Q4 1:50)
- Our calls right
- 33%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 3
- Penn State avg margin
- -5.0
Only 3 graded games on Penn State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Penn State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Penn State win chance | 79% | 79% |
- Pick locked: Penn State at 79%.
- Market closed with Penn State at 79%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q3 2:11: Penn State 97% to win, called at 79%.
- Final: Purdue 17–31 Penn State. Right.
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