Penn State at Michigan: our pick
We called Michigan at 71%, locked Oct 17, 1:31 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Penn State 18–21 Michigan. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 71% is the betting market's own price for Michigan: 5 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on Michigan: 1 right.
At 71%, a pick like this still loses about 29 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 71%Last live read 99% (Q4 1:52)
- Our calls right
- 33%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 3
- Michigan avg margin
- +9.3
Only 3 graded games on Michigan so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Michigan's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Michigan win chance | 71% | 71% |
| Michigan spread | -13.5 | -13.5 |
| Total | 42.5 | 42.5 |
- Pick locked: Michigan at 71%.
- Market closed with Michigan at 71%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Penn State 18–21 Michigan. Right.
More on these teams
Fingerprint
53b030e7ab6df62e1195d638f470e78373f7928b7662ba8697e74e3d59362012