Michigan at Minnesota: our pick
We called Michigan at 66%, locked Oct 2, 3:44 AM ET, 32 hours before kickoff.
Final: Michigan 14–20 Minnesota. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 66% is the betting market's own price for Michigan: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.8 points toward Michigan.
Our last 2 graded calls on Michigan: 1 right.
At 66%, a pick like this still loses about 34 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 2
- Michigan avg margin
- +17.0
Only 2 graded games on Michigan so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Michigan's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Michigan win chance | 66% | 67% |
- Pick locked: Michigan at 66%.
- Market closed with Michigan at 67%, 0.8 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Michigan 14–20 Minnesota. Wrong.
More on these teams
Minnesota
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