Minnesota at Purdue: our pick
We called Minnesota at 55%, locked Oct 10, 6:00 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Minnesota 13–41 Purdue. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for Minnesota: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on Minnesota: 2 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 55%Last live read 0% (Q4 7:35)
- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 4
- Minnesota avg margin
- +4.5
Only 4 graded games on Minnesota so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Minnesota's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota win chance | 55% | 55% |
| Minnesota spread | +2.5 | +2.5 |
| Total | 50.5 | 50.5 |
- Pick locked: Minnesota at 55%.
- Market closed with Minnesota at 55%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Minnesota 13–41 Purdue. Wrong.
More on these teams
Purdue
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