Purdue at Illinois: our pick
We called Illinois at 76%, locked Oct 2, 3:44 AM ET, 36 hours before kickoff.
Final: Purdue 24–17 Illinois. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 76% is the betting market's own price for Illinois: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.0 points toward Illinois.
We have no graded calls on Illinois yet.
At 76%, a pick like this still loses about 24 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
No graded calls on Illinois yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Illinois win chance | 76% | 76% |
| Illinois spread | -10.5 | -10.5 |
| Total | 60.5 | 60.5 |
- Pick locked: Illinois at 76%.
- Market closed with Illinois at 76%, 0.0 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Purdue 24–17 Illinois. Wrong.
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