Illinois at Michigan State: our pick
We called Illinois at 55%, locked Oct 10, 1:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Illinois 38–37 Michigan State. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for Illinois: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 1 graded call on Illinois: 0 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 55%Last live read 51% (Q4 1:17)
- Our calls right
- 0%
- Calls graded
- 0 of 1
- Illinois avg margin
- -7.0
Only 1 graded game on Illinois so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Illinois's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Illinois win chance | 55% | 55% |
| Illinois spread | +2.5 | +2.5 |
| Total | 46.5 | 46.5 |
- Pick locked: Illinois at 55%.
- Market closed with Illinois at 55%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Illinois 38–37 Michigan State. Right.
More on these teams
Michigan State
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