Michigan State at Wisconsin: our pick
We called Wisconsin at 76%, locked Oct 2, 7:05 AM ET, 29 hours before kickoff.
Final: Michigan State 3–31 Wisconsin. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 76% is the betting market's own price for Wisconsin: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.0 points away from Wisconsin.
Our last 3 graded calls on Wisconsin: 2 right.
At 76%, a pick like this still loses about 24 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Wisconsin avg margin
- +25.0
Only 3 graded games on Wisconsin so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Wisconsin's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin win chance | 76% | 76% |
| Wisconsin spread | -10.5 | -10.5 |
| Total | 43.5 | 43.5 |
- Pick locked: Wisconsin at 76%.
- Market closed with Wisconsin at 76%, 0.0 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Michigan State 3–31 Wisconsin. Right.
More on these teams
Wisconsin
Fingerprint
4a89e4f363242c4b5a855c46caf415e26040f33f9aacb8657c9c4d6a799392a2