The record · College football

Northwestern at Michigan State: our pick

We called Northwestern at 73%, locked Oct 17, 10:49 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Final: Northwestern 24–21 Michigan State. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 73% is the betting market's own price for Northwestern: 5 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 1 graded call on Northwestern: 1 right.

At 73%, a pick like this still loses about 27 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Northwestern win chance, call to final
50%

Call 73%Last live read 51% (Q4 0:05)

More on these teams

Michigan State

Northwestern

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Entry #781 in the chain. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →