Northwestern at Oregon: our pick
We called Oregon at 62%, locked Oct 31, 1:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Northwestern 26–34 Oregon. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 62% is the betting market's own price for Oregon: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on Oregon: 1 right.
At 62%, a pick like this still loses about 38 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Oct 31, 6:20 PM ET at Q4 14:19: Oregon 78% to win, called at 62%.
Call 62% Alert 78% at Q4 14:19Last live read 97% (Q4 0:51)
- Our calls right
- 33%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 3
- Oregon avg margin
- -3.3
Only 3 graded games on Oregon so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Oregon's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Oregon win chance | 62% | 62% |
- Pick locked: Oregon at 62%.
- Market closed with Oregon at 62%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q4 14:19: Oregon 78% to win, called at 62%.
- Final: Northwestern 26–34 Oregon. Right.
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