Nebraska at Oregon: our pick
We called Oregon at 70%, locked Oct 17, 9:06 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Nebraska 14–17 Oregon. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 70% is the betting market's own price for Oregon: 5 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 1 graded call on Oregon: 0 right.
At 70%, a pick like this still loses about 30 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 70%Last live read 80% (Q4 0:33)
- Our calls right
- 0%
- Calls graded
- 0 of 1
- Oregon avg margin
- -2.0
Only 1 graded game on Oregon so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Oregon's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Oregon win chance | 70% | 70% |
| Oregon spread | -13.5 | -13.5 |
| Total | 51.5 | 51.5 |
- Pick locked: Oregon at 70%.
- Market closed with Oregon at 70%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Nebraska 14–17 Oregon. Right.
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