USC at Penn State: our pick
We called Penn State at 53%, locked Oct 10, 5:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: USC 31–23 Penn State. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 53% is the betting market's own price for Penn State: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 1 graded call on Penn State: 0 right.
At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 53%Last live read 12% (Q4 3:59)
- Our calls right
- 0%
- Calls graded
- 0 of 1
- Penn State avg margin
- -4.0
Only 1 graded game on Penn State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Penn State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Penn State win chance | 53% | 53% |
| Penn State spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 54.5 | 54.5 |
- Pick locked: Penn State at 53%.
- Market closed with Penn State at 53%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: USC 31–23 Penn State. Wrong.
More on these teams
Penn State
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