Buffalo at Toledo: our pick
We called Toledo at 89%, locked Oct 10, 1:30 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Buffalo 23–8 Toledo. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 89% is the betting market's own price for Toledo: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 2 graded calls on Toledo: 2 right.
At 89%, a pick like this still loses about 11 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 89%Last live read 1% (Q4 1:55)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- Toledo avg margin
- +8.0
Only 2 graded games on Toledo so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Toledo's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Toledo win chance | 89% | 89% |
| Total | 54.5 | 54.5 |
- Pick locked: Toledo at 89%.
- Market closed with Toledo at 89%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Buffalo 23–8 Toledo. Wrong.
More on these teams
Fingerprint
8bce1f82f029722e0585a0fd51ebd5afa832b05c4f842e3140a281a8857c0e12