Western Michigan at Buffalo: our pick
We called Western Michigan at 82%, locked Oct 2, 7:05 AM ET, 29 hours before kickoff.
Final: Western Michigan 20–17 Buffalo. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 82% is the betting market's own price for Western Michigan: 6 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.3 points away from Western Michigan.
Our last 2 graded calls on Western Michigan: 2 right.
At 82%, a pick like this still loses about 18 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- Western Michigan avg margin
- -9.0
Only 2 graded games on Western Michigan so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Western Michigan's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Western Michigan win chance | 82% | 81% |
- Pick locked: Western Michigan at 82%.
- Market closed with Western Michigan at 81%, 1.3 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Western Michigan 20–17 Buffalo. Right.
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