UMass at Buffalo: our pick
We called Buffalo at 71%, locked Oct 17, 12:01 PM ET, less than an hour before kickoff.
Final: UMass 18–25 Buffalo. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 71% is the betting market's own price for Buffalo: 5 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on Buffalo: 2 right.
At 71%, a pick like this still loses about 29 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 71%Last live read 2% (Q4 0:27)
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- Buffalo avg margin
- -0.3
Only 3 graded games on Buffalo so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Buffalo's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo win chance | 71% | 71% |
| Buffalo spread | -13.5 | -13.5 |
| Total | 41.5 | 41.5 |
- Pick locked: Buffalo at 71%.
- Market closed with Buffalo at 71%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: UMass 18–25 Buffalo. Right.
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