The record · College football

Eastern Michigan at UMass: our pick

We called UMass at 66%, locked Oct 2, 10:14 AM ET, 29 hours before kickoff.

Final: Eastern Michigan 38–14 UMass. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 66% is the betting market's own price for UMass: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 0.0 points toward UMass.

Our last 2 graded calls on UMass: 2 right.

At 66%, a pick like this still loses about 34 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

More on these teams

UMass

Eastern Michigan

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Entry #540 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →