The record · College football

Toledo at Eastern Michigan: our pick

We called Toledo at 70%, locked Oct 17, 1:33 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Final: Toledo 34–14 Eastern Michigan. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 70% is the betting market's own price for Toledo: 5 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The market closed where we called it.

Our last 3 graded calls on Toledo: 2 right.

At 70%, a pick like this still loses about 30 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

Toledo win chance, call to final
50%

Call 70%Last live read 100% (Q4 1:18)

More on these teams

Eastern Michigan

Toledo

Fingerprint

5f250908be27aa55bc43b89a6b3e69b404a205bd6ca0434118213830d1d2a575

Entry #799 in the chain. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →