Toledo at Ball State: our pick
We called Toledo at 89%, locked Oct 2, 12:06 PM ET, 25 hours before kickoff.
Final: Toledo 39–24 Ball State. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 89% is the betting market's own price for Toledo: 6 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.3 points toward Toledo.
Our last 1 graded call on Toledo: 1 right.
At 89%, a pick like this still loses about 11 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 1
- Toledo avg margin
- +1.0
Only 1 graded game on Toledo so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Toledo's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Toledo win chance | 89% | 89% |
| Total | 51.5 | 51.5 |
- Pick locked: Toledo at 89%.
- Market closed with Toledo at 89%, 0.3 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Toledo 39–24 Ball State. Right.
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