The record · Soccer

Paris Saint-Germain at Manchester City: our pick

We called Manchester City at 44%, locked Oct 1, 10:06 AM ET, 13 days before kickoff.

Final: Paris Saint-Germain 4–2 Manchester City. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 44% is the betting market's own price for Manchester City: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 5.4 points toward Manchester City.

Our last 1 graded call on Manchester City: 0 right.

At 44%, a pick like this still loses about 56 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alerts run for the NFL, college football and the NBA. Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live.

More on these teams

Manchester City

Paris Saint-Germain

Fingerprint

fd0a9083b93b6ca06de13ad848289318caf9e58e244f8dd373b936e212021070

Entry #500 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →