The record · Soccer

Manchester City at Liverpool: our pick

We called Liverpool at 37%, locked Oct 1, 10:06 AM ET, 10 days before kickoff.

Final: Manchester City 3–0 Liverpool. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 37% is the betting market's own price for Liverpool: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

We have no graded calls on Liverpool yet.

At 37%, a pick like this still loses about 63 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alerts run for the NFL, college football and the NBA. Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live.

More on these teams

Liverpool

Manchester City

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Entry #457 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →