The record · Soccer

Liverpool at Brentford: our pick

We called Liverpool at 40%, locked Oct 4, 2:07 AM ET, 13 days before kickoff.

Final: Liverpool 2–1 Brentford. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 40% is the betting market's own price for Liverpool: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 2.0 points away from Liverpool.

Our last 2 graded calls on Liverpool: 1 right.

At 40%, a pick like this still loses about 60 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alerts run for the NFL, college football and the NBA. Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live.

More on these teams

Brentford

Liverpool

Fingerprint

b492114e57460e221ea7ce09affa7f4505dd5906dd33a8087fd097ae3a87d4ff

Entry #591 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →