The record · Soccer

Manchester City at Aston Villa: our pick

We called Manchester City at 59%, locked Oct 24, 5:40 AM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.

Final: Manchester City 1–2 Aston Villa. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 59% is the betting market's own price for Manchester City: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

The closing line is recorded just before the start; the move since the call shows up then.

Our last 3 graded calls on Manchester City: 1 right.

At 59%, a pick like this still loses about 41 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

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More on these teams

Aston Villa

Manchester City

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Entry #926 in the chain. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →