The record · NFL

Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles: our pick

We called the Philadelphia Eagles at 60%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 55 days before kickoff.

Final: Dallas Cowboys 38–21 Philadelphia Eagles. Wrong.

Why this pick?

Our 60% is the betting market's own price for the Philadelphia Eagles: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 27.9 points away from the Philadelphia Eagles, and the spread went from -3 to +3.5.

Our last 8 graded calls on the Philadelphia Eagles: 4 right.

At 60%, a pick like this still loses about 40 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alert sent Oct 26, 8:37 PM ET at Q1 10:25: Philadelphia Eagles 71% to win, called at 60%.

That was the moment to check the cash-out offer at your own sportsbook. Whether to take it was yours to decide; we never hold bets or money.

Philadelphia Eagles win chance, call to final
50%

Call 60% Alert 71% at Q1 10:25Last live read 0% (Q4 2:00)

More on these teams

Philadelphia Eagles

Dallas Cowboys

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Entry #248 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →