The record · NFL

Indianapolis Colts at Minnesota Vikings: our pick

We called the Minnesota Vikings at 57%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 54 days before kickoff.

Final: Indianapolis Colts 10–16 Minnesota Vikings. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 57% is the betting market's own price for the Minnesota Vikings: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 18.2 points toward the Minnesota Vikings.

Our last 7 graded calls on the Minnesota Vikings: 4 right.

At 57%, a pick like this still loses about 43 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alert sent Oct 25, 3:12 PM ET at Q4 14:36: Minnesota Vikings 70% to win, called at 57%.

That was the moment to check the cash-out offer at your own sportsbook. Whether to take it was yours to decide; we never hold bets or money.

Minnesota Vikings win chance, call to final
50%

Call 57% Alert 70% at Q4 14:36Last live read 98% (Q4 0:32)

More on these teams

Minnesota Vikings

Indianapolis Colts

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Entry #266 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →