The record · NFL

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions: our pick

We called the Detroit Lions at 67%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 61 days before kickoff.

Final: Minnesota Vikings 15–19 Detroit Lions. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 67% is the betting market's own price for the Detroit Lions: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 4.8 points away from the Detroit Lions.

Our last 7 graded calls on the Detroit Lions: 5 right.

At 67%, a pick like this still loses about 33 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alert sent Nov 1, 3:20 PM ET at Q3 3:30: Detroit Lions 82% to win, called at 67%.

That was the moment to check the cash-out offer at your own sportsbook. Whether to take it was yours to decide; we never hold bets or money.

Detroit Lions win chance, call to final
50%

Call 67% Alert 82% at Q3 3:30Last live read 96% (Q4 1:05)

More on these teams

Detroit Lions

Minnesota Vikings

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8767c74b677d1767bd69fef1198a3962508a8c8551bad6a570a3e2e82e20d660

Entry #222 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →