Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars: our pick
We called the Jacksonville Jaguars at 65%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 61 days before kickoff.
Final: Indianapolis Colts 7–42 Jacksonville Jaguars. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 65% is the betting market's own price for the Jacksonville Jaguars: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 17.2 points toward the Jacksonville Jaguars.
Our last 7 graded calls on the Jacksonville Jaguars: 4 right.
At 65%, a pick like this still loses about 35 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Nov 1, 1:26 PM ET at Q1 5:30: Jacksonville Jaguars 82% to win, called at 65%.
Call 65% Alert 82% at Q1 5:30Last live read 100% (Q4 1:17)
- Our calls right
- 60%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 5
- Jacksonville Jaguars avg margin
- +5.2
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Jacksonville Jaguars's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville Jaguars win chance | 65% | 82% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars spread | -4.5 | — |
| Total | 49.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the Jacksonville Jaguars at 65%.
- Market closed with the Jacksonville Jaguars at 82%, 17.2 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q1 5:30: the Jacksonville Jaguars 82% to win, called at 65%.
- Final: Indianapolis Colts 7–42 Jacksonville Jaguars. Right.
More on these teams
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