Fresno State at San Diego State: our pick
We called Fresno State at 74%, locked Oct 17, 8:36 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Fresno State 23–26 San Diego State. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 74% is the betting market's own price for Fresno State: 5 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on Fresno State: 3 right.
At 74%, a pick like this still loses about 26 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 74%Last live read 3% (Q4 0:31)
- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- Fresno State avg margin
- +10.8
Only 4 graded games on Fresno State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Fresno State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Fresno State win chance | 74% | 74% |
- Pick locked: Fresno State at 74%.
- Market closed with Fresno State at 74%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Fresno State 23–26 San Diego State. Wrong.
More on these teams
San Diego State
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