Boise State at Fresno State: our pick
We called Boise State at 73%, locked Oct 10, 8:31 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Boise State 38–31 Fresno State. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 73% is the betting market's own price for Boise State: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on Boise State: 3 right.
At 73%, a pick like this still loses about 27 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 73%Last live read 99% (Q4 1:34)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 3
- Boise State avg margin
- +20.7
Only 3 graded games on Boise State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Boise State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Boise State win chance | 73% | 73% |
- Pick locked: Boise State at 73%.
- Market closed with Boise State at 73%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Boise State 38–31 Fresno State. Right.
More on these teams
Fresno State
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