Texas State at San Diego State: our pick
We called Texas State at 75%, locked Oct 3, 12:01 PM ET, 10 hours before kickoff.
Final: Texas State 29–31 San Diego State. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 75% is the betting market's own price for Texas State: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 2 graded calls on Texas State: 1 right.
At 75%, a pick like this still loses about 25 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 50%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 2
- Texas State avg margin
- +4.5
Only 2 graded games on Texas State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Texas State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Texas State win chance | 75% | 75% |
- Pick locked: Texas State at 75%.
- Market closed with Texas State at 75%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Texas State 29–31 San Diego State. Wrong.
More on these teams
San Diego State
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