Nevada at North Dakota State: our pick
We called North Dakota State at 86%, locked Oct 17, 5:02 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Nevada 17–31 North Dakota State. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 86% is the betting market's own price for North Dakota State: 5 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on North Dakota State: 2 right.
At 86%, a pick like this still loses about 14 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 86%Last live read 99% (Q4 1:21)
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- North Dakota State avg margin
- +9.3
Only 3 graded games on North Dakota State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: North Dakota State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State win chance | 86% | 86% |
- Pick locked: North Dakota State at 86%.
- Market closed with North Dakota State at 86%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Nevada 17–31 North Dakota State. Right.
More on these teams
North Dakota State
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