Nevada at UTEP: our pick
We called Nevada at 75%, locked Oct 10, 5:01 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Nevada 30–13 UTEP. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 75% is the betting market's own price for Nevada: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 1 graded call on Nevada: 1 right.
At 75%, a pick like this still loses about 25 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 75%Last live read 100% (Q4 1:14)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 1 of 1
- Nevada avg margin
- -3.0
Only 1 graded game on Nevada so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Nevada's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Nevada win chance | 75% | 75% |
- Pick locked: Nevada at 75%.
- Market closed with Nevada at 75%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Nevada 30–13 UTEP. Right.
More on these teams
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