North Dakota State at UNLV: our pick
We called North Dakota State at 56%, locked Oct 10, 5:01 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: North Dakota State 7–13 UNLV. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 56% is the betting market's own price for North Dakota State: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 2 graded calls on North Dakota State: 2 right.
At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 56%Last live read 5% (Q4 1:19)
- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 2
- North Dakota State avg margin
- +17.0
Only 2 graded games on North Dakota State so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: North Dakota State's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| North Dakota State win chance | 56% | 56% |
- Pick locked: North Dakota State at 56%.
- Market closed with North Dakota State at 56%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: North Dakota State 7–13 UNLV. Wrong.
More on these teams
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