California at UNLV: our pick
We called UNLV at 56%, locked Oct 2, 7:05 AM ET, 32 hours before kickoff.
Final: California 31–39 UNLV. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 56% is the betting market's own price for UNLV: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.1 points away from UNLV.
Our last 1 graded call on UNLV: 0 right.
At 56%, a pick like this still loses about 44 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
- Our calls right
- 0%
- Calls graded
- 0 of 1
- UNLV avg margin
- -38.0
Only 1 graded game on UNLV so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: UNLV's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| UNLV win chance | 56% | 55% |
| UNLV spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 52.5 | 52.5 |
- Pick locked: UNLV at 56%.
- Market closed with UNLV at 55%, 1.1 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: California 31–39 UNLV. Right.
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