South Florida at UTSA: our pick
We called UTSA at 70%, locked Oct 8, 5:40 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: South Florida 24–31 UTSA. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 70% is the betting market's own price for UTSA: 8 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 3 graded calls on UTSA: 2 right.
At 70%, a pick like this still loses about 30 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
Call 70%Last live read 100% (Q4 0:05)
- Our calls right
- 67%
- Calls graded
- 2 of 3
- UTSA avg margin
- -5.7
Only 3 graded games on UTSA so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: UTSA's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| UTSA win chance | 70% | 70% |
| UTSA spread | -3.5 | -3.5 |
| Total | 49.5 | 49.5 |
- Pick locked: UTSA at 70%.
- Market closed with UTSA at 70%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: South Florida 24–31 UTSA. Right.
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