The record · College football

UTSA at Texas: our pick

We called Texas at 94%, locked Sep 18, 12:20 AM ET, 43 hours before kickoff.

Final: UTSA 6–30 Texas. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 94% is the betting market's own price for Texas: 4 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 0.7 points away from Texas.

Our last 1 graded call on Texas: 1 right.

At 94%, a pick like this still loses about 6 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No cash-out alert fired on this game.

More on these teams

Texas

UTSA

Fingerprint

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Entry #382 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →