Temple at South Florida: our pick
We called South Florida at 68%, locked Oct 2, 12:04 PM ET, 31 hours before kickoff.
Final: Temple 17–13 South Florida. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 68% is the betting market's own price for South Florida: 7 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 1.8 points away from South Florida.
We have no graded calls on South Florida yet.
At 68%, a pick like this still loses about 32 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
No cash-out alert fired on this game.
No graded calls on South Florida yet. Trends appear once their earlier games are final.
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| South Florida win chance | 68% | 66% |
- Pick locked: South Florida at 68%.
- Market closed with South Florida at 66%, 1.8 points away from our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Temple 17–13 South Florida. Wrong.
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