The record · Soccer

Real Madrid at AS Roma: our pick

We called Real Madrid at 46%, locked Oct 1, 10:06 AM ET, 13 days before kickoff.

Final: Real Madrid 4–3 AS Roma. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 46% is the betting market's own price for Real Madrid: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 3.2 points toward Real Madrid.

Our last 1 graded call on Real Madrid: 1 right.

At 46%, a pick like this still loses about 54 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

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More on these teams

AS Roma

Real Madrid

Fingerprint

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Entry #469 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →