The record · Soccer

Villarreal at Real Madrid: our pick

We called Real Madrid at 70%, locked Oct 1, 10:06 AM ET, 9 days before kickoff.

Final: Villarreal 0–1 Real Madrid. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 70% is the betting market's own price for Real Madrid: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 0.9 points toward Real Madrid.

We have no graded calls on Real Madrid yet.

At 70%, a pick like this still loses about 30 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alerts run for the NFL, college football and the NBA. Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live.

More on these teams

Real Madrid

Villarreal

Fingerprint

b7376d44c3b07d9ff2d5e5d8911050b4670743e854fadba23477b998c39f71b1

Entry #489 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →