The record · Soccer

Fenerbahce at Aston Villa: our pick

We called Aston Villa at 55%, locked Oct 1, 10:06 AM ET, 13 days before kickoff.

Final: Fenerbahce 0–6 Aston Villa. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 55% is the betting market's own price for Aston Villa: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 3.1 points toward Aston Villa.

We have no graded calls on Aston Villa yet.

At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.

Soccer picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

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More on these teams

Aston Villa

Fenerbahce

Fingerprint

e06bed6c4bc249a10b5d84a90562090f9338f97cb73a4b0bc0a16a1afbd1b8ea

Entry #484 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →