Borussia Dortmund at 1. FC Union Berlin: our pick
We called Borussia Dortmund at 55%, locked Oct 4, 2:07 AM ET, 13 days before kickoff.
Final: Borussia Dortmund 0–0 1. FC Union Berlin. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 55% is the betting market's own price for Borussia Dortmund: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 9.9 points toward Borussia Dortmund.
Our last 1 graded call on Borussia Dortmund: 0 right.
At 55%, a pick like this still loses about 45 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 0%
- Calls graded
- 0 of 1
- Borussia Dortmund avg margin
- -1.0
Only 1 graded game on Borussia Dortmund so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Borussia Dortmund's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Borussia Dortmund win chance | 55% | 65% |
| Total | 3.5 | 3.5 |
- Pick locked: Borussia Dortmund at 55%.
- Market closed with Borussia Dortmund at 65%, 9.9 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Borussia Dortmund 0–0 1. FC Union Berlin. Wrong.
More on these teams
1. FC Union Berlin
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