Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights: our pick
We called the Vegas Golden Knights at 50%, locked Oct 20, 9:09 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Tampa Bay Lightning 6–2 Vegas Golden Knights. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 50% is the betting market's own price for the Vegas Golden Knights: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 8 graded calls on the Vegas Golden Knights: 7 right.
At 50%, a pick like this still loses about 50 times in 100.
NHL picks are locked and graded, but not watched live: no cash-out alerts for this sport yet.
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- Our calls right
- 100%
- Calls graded
- 5 of 5
- Vegas Golden Knights avg margin
- +1.4
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Vegas Golden Knights's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Vegas Golden Knights win chance | 50% | 50% |
| Vegas Golden Knights spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 6.5 | 6.5 |
- Pick locked: the Vegas Golden Knights at 50%.
- Market closed with the Vegas Golden Knights at 50%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Tampa Bay Lightning 6–2 Vegas Golden Knights. Wrong.
More on these teams
Vegas Golden Knights
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