Seattle Kraken at Tampa Bay Lightning: our pick
We called the Tampa Bay Lightning at 71%, locked Oct 15, 5:53 PM ET, 1 hour before kickoff.
Final: Seattle Kraken 3–4 Tampa Bay Lightning. Right.
Why this pick?
Our 71% is the betting market's own price for the Tampa Bay Lightning: the DraftKings line, with its margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
The market closed where we called it.
Our last 4 graded calls on the Tampa Bay Lightning: 3 right.
At 71%, a pick like this still loses about 29 times in 100.
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- Our calls right
- 75%
- Calls graded
- 3 of 4
- Tampa Bay Lightning avg margin
- +0.5
Only 4 graded games on Tampa Bay Lightning so far.
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: Tampa Bay Lightning's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| Tampa Bay Lightning win chance | 71% | 71% |
| Tampa Bay Lightning spread | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Total | 6.5 | 6.5 |
- Pick locked: the Tampa Bay Lightning at 71%.
- Market closed with the Tampa Bay Lightning at 71%, where we called it.
- Kickoff.
- Final: Seattle Kraken 3–4 Tampa Bay Lightning. Right.
More on these teams
Tampa Bay Lightning
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