The record · NFL

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos: our pick

We called the Denver Broncos at 53%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 61 days before kickoff.

Not played yet.

Why this pick?

Our 53% is the betting market's own price for the Denver Broncos: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 4.9 points away from the Denver Broncos.

Our last 8 graded calls on the Denver Broncos: 5 right.

At 53%, a pick like this still loses about 47 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

No alert on this pick yet. While the game is live we check it every minute and email members if the pick pulls well ahead with time still on the clock.

More on these teams

Denver Broncos

Kansas City Chiefs

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Entry #182 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →