The record · NFL

Kansas City Chiefs at Seattle Seahawks: our pick

We called the Seattle Seahawks at 60%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 54 days before kickoff.

Final: Kansas City Chiefs 3–20 Seattle Seahawks. Right.

Why this pick?

Our 60% is the betting market's own price for the Seattle Seahawks: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.

Since we locked it the market moved 1.9 points away from the Seattle Seahawks.

Our last 6 graded calls on the Seattle Seahawks: 3 right.

At 60%, a pick like this still loses about 40 times in 100.

What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.

Reading a pick: What does a 70% chance to win mean? Reading win probabilities · How to tell whether a sports picks record is real

Cash-out alert sent Oct 25, 9:34 PM ET at Q2 1:44: Seattle Seahawks 89% to win, called at 60%.

That was the moment to check the cash-out offer at your own sportsbook. Whether to take it was yours to decide; we never hold bets or money.

Seattle Seahawks win chance, call to final
50%

Call 60% Alert 89% at Q2 1:44Last live read 100% (Q4 2:00)

More on these teams

Seattle Seahawks

Kansas City Chiefs

Fingerprint

f02db7da7ccecb3ad9e040bb9ad3247d28791641a8daf7401c3c83e40f686c15

Entry #263 in the chain, backfilled when fingerprinting began. Check this call yourself →

Not betting advice. 21+ where permitted. Every call, graded →