Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets: our pick
We called the New York Jets at 52%, locked Aug 31, 8:47 PM ET, 61 days before kickoff.
Final: Las Vegas Raiders 38–33 New York Jets. Wrong.
Why this pick?
Our 52% is the betting market's own price for the New York Jets: 2 sportsbooks' prices, averaged, with their margin taken out. It is not a secret model.
Since we locked it the market moved 0.6 points toward the New York Jets.
Our last 8 graded calls on the New York Jets: 6 right.
At 52%, a pick like this still loses about 48 times in 100.
What we add is timing: we watch this game live and email members when the pick pulls well ahead, so they can check the cash-out at their own sportsbook.
Cash-out alert sent Nov 1, 1:56 PM ET at Q2 10:56: New York Jets 72% to win, called at 52%.
Call 52% Alert 72% at Q2 10:56Last live read 2% (Q4 0:27)
- Our calls right
- 80%
- Calls graded
- 4 of 5
- New York Jets avg margin
- -4.6
Our call right Our call wrongBar height: New York Jets's final margin
| Since the call | At call | At close |
|---|---|---|
| New York Jets win chance | 52% | 53% |
| New York Jets spread | -1.5 | — |
| Total | 40.5 | — |
- Pick locked: the New York Jets at 52%.
- Market closed with the New York Jets at 53%, 0.6 points toward our side.
- Kickoff.
- Cash-out alert sent at Q2 10:56: the New York Jets 72% to win, called at 52%.
- Final: Las Vegas Raiders 38–33 New York Jets. Wrong.
More on these teams
New York Jets
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